A drop in the local birth rate is being felt at the district level, according to Round Rock ISD demographers.
What's happening: In recent years, the number of students enrolled in the district declined from a peak of 50,953 in the 2019-20 school year to 45,952 students in the 2025-26 school year.
The details: Rocky Gardner, a representative of demographic firm Zonda Education, shared projections showing the district’s enrollment could further decline to 40,199 students by the 2035-36 school year. Gardner said that generally, people are having fewer children, which has a direct impact on the state’s attendance-based funding model.
The impact: This is a trend observed across the country, RRISD Chief of Schools Natalie Nichols said ahead of the 2026-27 school year, and not indicative of parent dissatisfaction with public education.
Facing additional budget constraints, the district is planning programmatic efficiencies if this enrollment decline bears out.