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A decline in enrollment is on the horizon for Round Rock ISD, demographers said in April.
The situation: A demographic update presented at the April 16 meeting shows that the population of Round Rock is generally becoming younger, combined with a trend of delayed parenthood.
Rocky Gardner, a demographer with Zonda Education, said the district captures around 81% of students born in its district. However, 64% of the population within the bounds of RRISD is made up of people born between 1981 and 2017—millennials, Generation Z and Generation Alpha.
Presently, he said, the majority of parents with school-aged children are millennials, born between 1981 and 1998, per the report.
The projections: Projections shared at the meeting show student enrollment could decrease by nearly 5,000 students from 45,952 in the 2025-26 school year to 41,015 in the 2035-36 school year. This represents a roughly 10.7% decrease in projected enrollment.
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